Decoupling of CO2 emissions and GDP

  • Yves Rocha de Salles Lima Instituto Federal Fluminense campus Campos Centro (IFF)
  • Tatiane Stellet Machado UCAM-Campos
  • Joao Jose de Assis Rangel UCAM-Campos
Keywords: emissions, GDP, decoupling.


The objetive of this work is to analyze the variation of CO2 emissions and GDP per capita throughout the years and identify the possible interaction between them. For this purpose, data from the International Energy Agency was collected on two countries, Brazil and the one with the highest GDP worldwide, the United States. Thus, the results showed that CO2 emissions have been following the country’s economic growth for many years. However, these two indicators have started to decouple in the US in 2007 while in Brazil the same happened in 2011. Furthermore, projections for CO2 emissions are made until 2040, considering 6 probable scenarios. These projections showed that even if the oil price decreases, the emissions will not be significantly affected as long as the economic growth does not decelerate.


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How to Cite
Lima, Y. R. de S., Machado, T. S., & Rangel, J. J. de A. (2016). Decoupling of CO2 emissions and GDP. Revista Produção E Desenvolvimento, 2(3), 37-53.
Evaluation, Public Management & Development