CO2 emissions and the potential for expansion of fossil fuels in the BRICS
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.32358/rpd.2022.v8.603Keywords:
natural gas, co2 emissions, energy trilemma, kaya decompositionAbstract
Purpose: This work aims to analyze CO2 emissions and a possible increase in the consumption of fossil fuels, in a context that studies the Energy Trilemma and development of BRICS countries. Methodology/Approach: Based on empirical knowledge and data available on the International Energy Agency (IEA) portal and on the Energy Trilemma Report, the research analyzes the energy and electricity matrix, population, emissions, Gross domestic product (GDP) and Human Development Index (HDI). Findings: A pattern was not observed between development and participation of renewable energy. But, countries with high HDI have a better evaluated energy system. There was a worsening in Brazil in per capita emissions, energy and carbon intensity. However, this change is not related to the growth in natural gas consumption. Research Limitation/implication: The databases limited the study, due to the difference in the timeline of the World Energy Council (WEC) and International Energy Agency (IEA) and the lack of detail in the calculation of the Energy Trilemma evaluation. Originality/Value of paper: A comparative analysis that relates Brazil with similar countries, such as those in the BRICS group, contributing to energy equity, which reduces the cost of electricity without ecological damage.Downloads
Download data is not yet available.
References
Almeida Prado, F., Athayde, S., Mossa, J., Bohlman, S., Leite, F., & Oliver-Smith, A. (2016). How much is enough? An integrated examination of energy security, economic growth and climate change related to hydropower expansion in Brazil. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 53, 1132–1136. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2015.09.050
Andrade, C. E. S. de. (2016). Avaliação da Emissão de Dióxido de Carbono e do uso de Energia no Ciclo de Vida de Sistemas Metroferroviários de Passageiros: Aplicação na Linha 4 do Metrô do Rio de Janeiro [Tese de Doutorado]. Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro.
Angelo, C., & Rittl, C. (2019). Análise das emissões brasileiras de gases de efeito estufa e suas implicações para as metas do Brasil (p. 33). SEEG. http://www.observatoriodoclima.eco.br/wp-content/uploads/2019/11/OC_SEEG_Relatorio_2019pdf.pdf
Asbahi, A. A. M. H. A., Gang, F. Z., Iqbal, W., Abass, Q., Mohsin, M., & Iram, R. (2019). Novel approach of Principal Component Analysis method to assess the national energy performance via Energy Trilemma Index. Energy Reports, 5, 704–713. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2019.06.009
Bijos, L., & Guilhon, E. P. (2014). Brics, uma alternativa de poder? Revista do Direito Público, 9(1), 9. https://doi.org/10.5433/1980-511X.2014v9n1p9
Bogoviz, A. V., Ragulina, Y. V., Lobova, S. V., & Alekseev, A. N. (2019). A QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS OF ENERGY SECURITY PERFORMANCE BY BRAZIL, RUSSIA, INDIA, CHINA, AND SOUTH AFRICA IN 1990-2015. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 9(3), 244–250. https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.7585
Lei no 14.134, de 8 de abril de 2021, no 14134 (2021), -. https://www.in.gov.br/en/web/dou/-/lei-n-14.134-de-8-de-abril-de-2021-312904769
Bronzatti, F. L., & Neto, A. I. (2008). Matrizes energéticas no Brasil: Cenário 2010-2030. Anais Eletrônicos do Encontro Nacional de Engenharia de Produção, 15.
Brown, M. A., Wang, Y., Sovacool, B. K., & D’Agostino, A. L. (2014). Forty years of energy security trends: A comparative assessment of 22 industrialized countries. Energy Research & Social Science, 4, 64–77. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2014.08.008
Campos, A. F., da Silva, N. F., Pereira, M. G., & Vasconcelos Freitas, M. A. (2017). A review of Brazilian natural gas industry: Challenges and strategies. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 75, 1207–1216. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2016.11.104
Cervantes Bravo, R. J., Jimenez Nieves, E., Valqui Ordoñez, B., Canto Espinoza, D., & Hinostroza Cairo, A. (2020). A Sustainable Future Under Energy Intensity Scenarios-Peru’s Compliance with COP24 in an Energy Trilemma Environment. SPE Latin American and Caribbean Petroleum Engineering Conference. SPE Latin American and Caribbean Petroleum Engineering Conference, Virtual. https://doi.org/10.2118/199131-MS
Dai, S., Zhang, M., & Huang, W. (2016). Decomposing the decoupling of CO2 emission from economic growth in BRICS countries. Natural Hazards, 84(2), 1055–1073. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2472-0
de Castro, N., & Brandão, R. (2021). Causas da crise hídrica no Brasil. Agência Broadcast Energia, 3.
Ebhota, W. S., & Jen, T.-C. (2020). Fossil Fuels Environmental Challenges and the Role of Solar Photovoltaic Technology Advances in Fast Tracking Hybrid Renewable Energy System. International Journal of Precision Engineering and Manufacturing-Green Technology, 7(1), 97–117. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40684-019-00101-9
EPE - Empresa de Pesquisa Energética. (2020). Demanda de Gás Natural nos Mercados Nacional e Internacional.
Feijó, G. D. R., & Rangel, J. J. de A. (2018). Analysis of behaviour in the emissions of carbon dioxide of Brazil and other countries based on the Kaya Identity and the Emission Profile. Desenvolvimento e Meio Ambiente, 46. https://doi.org/10.5380/dma.v46i0.55087
Fioreze, M., Hedlund, K. F. S., Graepin, C., Silva, T. C. N., Azevedo, F. C. G. de, & Kemerich, P. D. da C. (2013). Gás natural: Potencialidades de utilização no Brasil. Revista Eletrônica em Gestão, Educação e Tecnologia Ambiental, 10(10), 2251–2265. https://doi.org/10.5902/223611707896
Harjanne, A., & Korhonen, J. M. (2019). Abandoning the concept of renewable energy. Energy Policy, 127, 330–340. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2018.12.029
Heffron, R. J., & McCauley, D. (2017). The concept of energy justice across the disciplines. Energy Policy, 105, 658–667. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2017.03.018
IEA - INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY. (2015). CO2 emissions from fuel combustion 2019—Highlights (p. 165). IEA. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/eb3b2e8d-28e0-47fd-a8ba-160f7ed42bc3/CO2_Emissions_from_Fuel_Combustion_2019_Highlights.pdf
IPCC - Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (2015). Climate change 2014: Mitigation of climate change. Cambridge University.
Kaya, Y. (1997). Environment, energy, and economy: Strategies for sustainability. Tokyo: United Nations University Press.
Lima, F., Portugal-Pereira, J., Lucena, A. F. P., Rochedo, P., Cunha, J., Lopes Nunes, M., & Szklo, A. S. (2015). Analysis of energy security and sustainability in future low carbon scenarios for Brazil: Analysis of energy security and sustainability in future low carbon scenarios for Brazil. Natural Resources Forum, 39(3–4), 175–190. https://doi.org/10.1111/1477-8947.12081
Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pörtner, H. O., Roberts, D., Skea, J., Shukla, P. R., Pirani, A., Moufouma-Okia, W., Péan, C., Pidcock, R., Connors, S., Matthews, J. B. R., Chen, Y., Zhou, X., Gomis, M. I., Lonnoy, E., Maycock, T., Tignor, M., & Waterfield, T. (2018). IPCC, 2018: Summary for Policymakers. World Meteorological Organization.
Pui, K. L., & Othman, J. (2019). The influence of economic, technical, and social aspects on energy-associated CO2 emissions in Malaysia: An extended Kaya identity approach. Energy, 181, 468–493. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2019.05.168
Ripple, W. J., Wolf, C., Newsome, T. M., Barnard, P., & Moomaw, W. R. (2019). World Scientists’ Warning of a Climate Emergency. BioScience, biz088. https://doi.org/10.1093/biosci/biz088
Setyowati, A. B. (2020). Mitigating Energy Poverty: Mobilizing Climate Finance to Manage the Energy Trilemma in Indonesia. Sustainability, 12(4), 1603. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12041603
Siegel, S. (1975). Estatística não-paramétrica: Para as ciências do comportamento. McGraw-Hill do Brasil.
Šprajc, P., Bjegović, M., & Vasić, B. (2019). Energy security in decision making and governance—Methodological analysis of energy trilemma index. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 114, 109341. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2019.109341
Su, W., Wang, Y., Streimikiene, D., Balezentis, T., & Zhang, C. (2020). Carbon dioxide emission decomposition along the gradient of economic development: The case of energy sustainability in the G7 and Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa. Sustainable Development, 28(4), 657–669. https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.2016
Tarko, A., Kurbatova, A., & Llerena, S. (2019). Effect of CO 2 increase on ecological parameters of plant ecosystems of Central and South America countries. E3S Web of Conferences, 116, 00090. https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/201911600090
Vieira, E. P. L., Garcia, E. C. B., Torres, D. E. A., Osvaldo, D., & Guimarães, M. H. (2005). Benefícios Ambientais do Gás Natural no Estado da Bahia. Anais do 3° Congresso Brasileiro de P&D em Petróleo e Gás, 6.
WEC - World Energy Council. (2018). World Energy Trilemma Index 2018. WEC.
WEC - World Energy Council. (2022). Energy Trilemma Index. Energy Trilemma Index. https://trilemma.worldenergy.org/#!/energy-index
Yang, P., Liang, X., & Drohan, P. J. (2020). Using Kaya and LMDI models to analyze carbon emissions from the energy consumption in China. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27(21), 26495–26501. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-09075-7
Andrade, C. E. S. de. (2016). Avaliação da Emissão de Dióxido de Carbono e do uso de Energia no Ciclo de Vida de Sistemas Metroferroviários de Passageiros: Aplicação na Linha 4 do Metrô do Rio de Janeiro [Tese de Doutorado]. Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro.
Angelo, C., & Rittl, C. (2019). Análise das emissões brasileiras de gases de efeito estufa e suas implicações para as metas do Brasil (p. 33). SEEG. http://www.observatoriodoclima.eco.br/wp-content/uploads/2019/11/OC_SEEG_Relatorio_2019pdf.pdf
Asbahi, A. A. M. H. A., Gang, F. Z., Iqbal, W., Abass, Q., Mohsin, M., & Iram, R. (2019). Novel approach of Principal Component Analysis method to assess the national energy performance via Energy Trilemma Index. Energy Reports, 5, 704–713. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2019.06.009
Bijos, L., & Guilhon, E. P. (2014). Brics, uma alternativa de poder? Revista do Direito Público, 9(1), 9. https://doi.org/10.5433/1980-511X.2014v9n1p9
Bogoviz, A. V., Ragulina, Y. V., Lobova, S. V., & Alekseev, A. N. (2019). A QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS OF ENERGY SECURITY PERFORMANCE BY BRAZIL, RUSSIA, INDIA, CHINA, AND SOUTH AFRICA IN 1990-2015. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 9(3), 244–250. https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.7585
Lei no 14.134, de 8 de abril de 2021, no 14134 (2021), -. https://www.in.gov.br/en/web/dou/-/lei-n-14.134-de-8-de-abril-de-2021-312904769
Bronzatti, F. L., & Neto, A. I. (2008). Matrizes energéticas no Brasil: Cenário 2010-2030. Anais Eletrônicos do Encontro Nacional de Engenharia de Produção, 15.
Brown, M. A., Wang, Y., Sovacool, B. K., & D’Agostino, A. L. (2014). Forty years of energy security trends: A comparative assessment of 22 industrialized countries. Energy Research & Social Science, 4, 64–77. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2014.08.008
Campos, A. F., da Silva, N. F., Pereira, M. G., & Vasconcelos Freitas, M. A. (2017). A review of Brazilian natural gas industry: Challenges and strategies. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 75, 1207–1216. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2016.11.104
Cervantes Bravo, R. J., Jimenez Nieves, E., Valqui Ordoñez, B., Canto Espinoza, D., & Hinostroza Cairo, A. (2020). A Sustainable Future Under Energy Intensity Scenarios-Peru’s Compliance with COP24 in an Energy Trilemma Environment. SPE Latin American and Caribbean Petroleum Engineering Conference. SPE Latin American and Caribbean Petroleum Engineering Conference, Virtual. https://doi.org/10.2118/199131-MS
Dai, S., Zhang, M., & Huang, W. (2016). Decomposing the decoupling of CO2 emission from economic growth in BRICS countries. Natural Hazards, 84(2), 1055–1073. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2472-0
de Castro, N., & Brandão, R. (2021). Causas da crise hídrica no Brasil. Agência Broadcast Energia, 3.
Ebhota, W. S., & Jen, T.-C. (2020). Fossil Fuels Environmental Challenges and the Role of Solar Photovoltaic Technology Advances in Fast Tracking Hybrid Renewable Energy System. International Journal of Precision Engineering and Manufacturing-Green Technology, 7(1), 97–117. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40684-019-00101-9
EPE - Empresa de Pesquisa Energética. (2020). Demanda de Gás Natural nos Mercados Nacional e Internacional.
Feijó, G. D. R., & Rangel, J. J. de A. (2018). Analysis of behaviour in the emissions of carbon dioxide of Brazil and other countries based on the Kaya Identity and the Emission Profile. Desenvolvimento e Meio Ambiente, 46. https://doi.org/10.5380/dma.v46i0.55087
Fioreze, M., Hedlund, K. F. S., Graepin, C., Silva, T. C. N., Azevedo, F. C. G. de, & Kemerich, P. D. da C. (2013). Gás natural: Potencialidades de utilização no Brasil. Revista Eletrônica em Gestão, Educação e Tecnologia Ambiental, 10(10), 2251–2265. https://doi.org/10.5902/223611707896
Harjanne, A., & Korhonen, J. M. (2019). Abandoning the concept of renewable energy. Energy Policy, 127, 330–340. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2018.12.029
Heffron, R. J., & McCauley, D. (2017). The concept of energy justice across the disciplines. Energy Policy, 105, 658–667. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2017.03.018
IEA - INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY. (2015). CO2 emissions from fuel combustion 2019—Highlights (p. 165). IEA. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/eb3b2e8d-28e0-47fd-a8ba-160f7ed42bc3/CO2_Emissions_from_Fuel_Combustion_2019_Highlights.pdf
IPCC - Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (2015). Climate change 2014: Mitigation of climate change. Cambridge University.
Kaya, Y. (1997). Environment, energy, and economy: Strategies for sustainability. Tokyo: United Nations University Press.
Lima, F., Portugal-Pereira, J., Lucena, A. F. P., Rochedo, P., Cunha, J., Lopes Nunes, M., & Szklo, A. S. (2015). Analysis of energy security and sustainability in future low carbon scenarios for Brazil: Analysis of energy security and sustainability in future low carbon scenarios for Brazil. Natural Resources Forum, 39(3–4), 175–190. https://doi.org/10.1111/1477-8947.12081
Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pörtner, H. O., Roberts, D., Skea, J., Shukla, P. R., Pirani, A., Moufouma-Okia, W., Péan, C., Pidcock, R., Connors, S., Matthews, J. B. R., Chen, Y., Zhou, X., Gomis, M. I., Lonnoy, E., Maycock, T., Tignor, M., & Waterfield, T. (2018). IPCC, 2018: Summary for Policymakers. World Meteorological Organization.
Pui, K. L., & Othman, J. (2019). The influence of economic, technical, and social aspects on energy-associated CO2 emissions in Malaysia: An extended Kaya identity approach. Energy, 181, 468–493. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2019.05.168
Ripple, W. J., Wolf, C., Newsome, T. M., Barnard, P., & Moomaw, W. R. (2019). World Scientists’ Warning of a Climate Emergency. BioScience, biz088. https://doi.org/10.1093/biosci/biz088
Setyowati, A. B. (2020). Mitigating Energy Poverty: Mobilizing Climate Finance to Manage the Energy Trilemma in Indonesia. Sustainability, 12(4), 1603. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12041603
Siegel, S. (1975). Estatística não-paramétrica: Para as ciências do comportamento. McGraw-Hill do Brasil.
Šprajc, P., Bjegović, M., & Vasić, B. (2019). Energy security in decision making and governance—Methodological analysis of energy trilemma index. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 114, 109341. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2019.109341
Su, W., Wang, Y., Streimikiene, D., Balezentis, T., & Zhang, C. (2020). Carbon dioxide emission decomposition along the gradient of economic development: The case of energy sustainability in the G7 and Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa. Sustainable Development, 28(4), 657–669. https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.2016
Tarko, A., Kurbatova, A., & Llerena, S. (2019). Effect of CO 2 increase on ecological parameters of plant ecosystems of Central and South America countries. E3S Web of Conferences, 116, 00090. https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/201911600090
Vieira, E. P. L., Garcia, E. C. B., Torres, D. E. A., Osvaldo, D., & Guimarães, M. H. (2005). Benefícios Ambientais do Gás Natural no Estado da Bahia. Anais do 3° Congresso Brasileiro de P&D em Petróleo e Gás, 6.
WEC - World Energy Council. (2018). World Energy Trilemma Index 2018. WEC.
WEC - World Energy Council. (2022). Energy Trilemma Index. Energy Trilemma Index. https://trilemma.worldenergy.org/#!/energy-index
Yang, P., Liang, X., & Drohan, P. J. (2020). Using Kaya and LMDI models to analyze carbon emissions from the energy consumption in China. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27(21), 26495–26501. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-09075-7
Published
2022-11-27
How to Cite
Soares, T. R. E., & Rangel, J. J. de A. (2022). CO2 emissions and the potential for expansion of fossil fuels in the BRICS. Revista Produção E Desenvolvimento, 8(1), e603. https://doi.org/10.32358/rpd.2022.v8.603
Issue
Section
Management Affairs
License
Copyright (c) 2022 Revista Produção e Desenvolvimento
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
All content on this work is licensed under a Creative Commons BY Attribution 4.0 Unported license. The articles are free to use, with their CC BY attributions of license.
The journal is not responsible for the opinions, ideas and concepts emitted in the texts, as they are the sole responsibility of its author (s).
The publisher has the right to reject articles that in the evaluation process have been detected signs of plagiarism. The articles that have been detected indications of plagiarism after the publication, will be excluded from the edition. And the indication of the problem will be informed in the place of the text, keeping the same amount of pages.
This journal adopts the principles of ethical conduct of international quality Committee on Publication Ethics (COPE), as well as the parameters of Integrity in the Scientific Activity indicated by SCOPUS and SCIELO.
