Decoupling of CO2 emissions and GDP

Authors

  • Yves Rocha de Salles Lima Instituto Federal Fluminense
  • Tatiane Stellet Machado UCAM
  • Joao Jose de Assis Rangel UCAM

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.32358/rpd.2016.v2.174

Keywords:

emissions, GDP, decoupling.

Abstract

The objetive of this work is to analyze the variation of CO2 emissions and GDP per capita throughout the years and identify the possible interaction between them. For this purpose, data from the International Energy Agency was collected on two countries, Brazil and the one with the highest GDP worldwide, the United States. Thus, the results showed that CO2 emissions have been following the country’s economic growth for many years. However, these two indicators have started to decouple in the US in 2007 while in Brazil the same happened in 2011. Furthermore, projections for CO2 emissions are made until 2040, considering 6 probable scenarios. These projections showed that even if the oil price decreases, the emissions will not be significantly affected as long as the economic growth does not decelerate.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

AJANOVIC, A.; HAAS, R. On the future prospects and limits of biofuels in Brazil, the US and EU. Applied Energy, v. 135, p. 730–737, 2014.

AUSTRALIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCE. The science of climate change: Questions and answersCanberra, 2015.

BEA. National Income and Product Accounts. Disponível em: <http://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/national/gdp/gdpnewsrelease.htm>. Acesso em: 8 jul. 2016.

BOZOKLU, S.; YILANCI, V. Energy consumption and economic growth for selected OECD countries: Further evidence from the Granger causality test in the frequency domain. Energy Policy, v. 63, p. 877–881, 2013.

DE FREITAS, L. C.; KANEKO, S. Decomposing the decoupling of CO2 emissions and economic growth in Brazil. Ecological Economics, v. 70, n. 8, p. 1459–1469, 2011.

EIA. Annual Energy Outlook, 2016.

EPA. Overview of Greenhouse Gases. Disponível em: <https://www3.epa.gov/climatechange/ghgemissions/gases.html>. Acesso em: 8 jul. 2016.

FEARNSIDE, P. M. Greenhouse gas emissions from hydroelectric dams. Climatic Change, v. 11, n. 1, p. 3, 2016.

GARCIA-HELLER, V.; ESPINASA, R.; PAREDES, S. Forecast study of the supply curve of solar and wind technologies in Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Mexico. Renewable Energy, v. 93, p. 168–179, 2016.

IEA. Building energy performance metrics - Supporting energy efficiency progress in major economies, 2015a.

IEA. Trends in photovoltaic applications, 2015b.

IEA. Key Trends in CO2 Emissions From Fuel Combustion, 2015c.

IEA. World Energy Outlook, 2015d.

IEA. Decoupling of global emissions and economic growth confirmed. Disponível em: <https://www.iea.org/newsroomandevents/pressreleases/2016/march/decoupling-of-global-emissions-and-economic-growth-confirmed.html>. Acesso em: 9 ago. 2016.

IMF. World Economic Outlook Database. Disponível em: <https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2015/02/weodata/index.aspx>. Acesso em: 8 jul. 2016.

KAYA, Y. Environment, energy, and economy: strategies for sustainability. Tokyo: United Nations University Press, 1997.

LIANG, Q.-M.; DENG, H.-M.; LIU, M. Co-control of CO2 emissions and local pollutants in China: the perspective of adjusting final use behaviors. Journal of Cleaner Production, v. 131, p. 198–208, 2016.

MARJANOVIĆ, V.; MILOVANČEVIĆ, M.; MLADENOVIĆ, I. Prediction of GDP growth rate based on carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. Journal of CO2 Utilization, v. 16, p. 212–217, 2016.

ROSA, L. P. et al. A model for the data extrapolation of greenhouse gas emissions in the Brazilian hydroelectric system. Environmental Research Letters, v. 11, n. 6, p. 11, 2016.

SUBRAMANIAN, M. Can Delhi save itself from its toxic air? Nature, v. 534, n. 7606, p. 166–169, 8 jun. 2016.

WORLD BANK. World Development Indicators Database. Disponível em: <http://databank.worldbank.org/data/download/GDP.pdf>. Acesso em: 10 jul. 2016.

ZHANG, Y. J.; DA, Y. BIN. The decomposition of energy-related carbon emission and its decoupling with economic growth in China. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, v. 41, p. 1255–1266, 2015.

Published

2016-12-31

How to Cite

Lima, Y. R. de S., Machado, T. S., & Rangel, J. J. de A. (2016). Decoupling of CO2 emissions and GDP. Revista Produção E Desenvolvimento, 2(3), 37–53. https://doi.org/10.32358/rpd.2016.v2.174

Issue

Section

Territorial Affairs